A large majority of the public, 73%, is opposed to our continued aid to Pakistan. However, since we need Pakistan as a resupply route into Afghanistan it isn’t as simple as just turning off the spigot. Treating them as hostile, and effectively invading to control our supply routes isn’t an option either. Even occasional and half-assed cooperation from their military and intelligence forces is better than outright hostility.
However, if our politicians and diplomats had steel in their spines, the aid would be made contingent on genuine cooperation. Don’t cut them off, but dial it back to get their attention. Explain that they will only get, say, half until or unless they get serious about dealing with the terrorist sympathizers in official positions. If they make progress, some of the aid is restored. If they fail to do enough, it is dialed back even further. Right now there is little incentive for the secular authorities to do much because they know that in spite of any condemnations or hot air we will keep playing ball. The prospect of losing billions of dollars ought to serve as a wake up call.
And if that isn’t enough to get them to act, then we know nothing will.
If they decide that attacking a few convoys (or letting it happen) when the money slows down will make us think again . . . well, that’s where the steel comes in. We don’t want to be at war with Pakistan, but if we aren’t willing to back up our words then we need to just shut up and stop griping about what they do with our money. It’s extortion, and the only way to beat it is to be willing to call their bluff. And it is a bluff, because as much as we want to avoid outright war they want it even more. The Islamists may want to fight us on general principle, but the rest know it would be national suicide.
The carrot-and-stick approach may be a cliche, but it’s been around long enough to become one precisely because it works. And it is clear that a carrot-only approach is not working.